Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.524433 0.582297 0.644745 0.717287 0.799409 0.889685 0.996703
2025-05-25 0.420860 0.498008 0.587606 0.699922 0.837739 1.002337 1.215302
2025-06-01 0.374085 0.461884 0.569018 0.710510 0.894168 1.126818 1.447547
2025-06-08 0.334002 0.426385 0.543596 0.704997 0.924256 1.215768 1.639487
2025-06-15 0.307107 0.403476 0.529945 0.710572 0.966032 1.320691 1.861542
2025-06-22 0.279510 0.376257 0.506920 0.699477 0.981477 1.388090 2.035101
2025-06-29 0.257665 0.354525 0.488779 0.692357 1.000205 1.459945 2.221238
2025-07-06 0.232332 0.325581 0.457679 0.662886 0.981792 1.472638 2.314056
2025-07-13 0.220986 0.315693 0.452974 0.671763 1.021838 1.578440 2.569122
2025-07-20 0.210596 0.306268 0.447946 0.679231 1.059633 1.683434 2.834567
2025-07-27 0.201176 0.297504 0.443048 0.686101 1.096481 1.789690 3.114449
2025-08-03 0.192112 0.288566 0.437067 0.690416 1.128933 1.890920 3.396992
2025-08-10 0.184432 0.281443 0.433683 0.699143 1.170510 2.013920 3.740642
2025-08-17 0.172386 0.266578 0.416793 0.683616 1.167825 2.056267 3.931442
2025-08-24 0.166449 0.261187 0.414984 0.693836 1.212315 2.190880 4.328801
2025-08-31 0.158134 0.251307 0.404917 0.688476 1.227084 2.269355 4.617689
2025-09-07 0.152400 0.245363 0.401080 0.693901 1.262562 2.392079 5.020883
2025-09-14 0.144398 0.235063 0.389001 0.683106 1.265255 2.447987 5.279686
2025-09-21 0.137627 0.226492 0.379403 0.676177 1.274873 2.519061 5.584214
2025-09-28 0.128010 0.212430 0.359190 0.647497 1.237721 2.486071 5.631013
2025-10-05 0.124603 0.209165 0.358268 0.656136 1.278528 2.627714 6.135429
2025-10-12 0.121200 0.205704 0.356744 0.663403 1.316991 2.768206 6.659808
2025-10-19 0.117913 0.202262 0.355022 0.670089 1.354714 2.911088 7.214562